It’s Week 2 in the CFL, and while it’s still early to get a real sense of what each of these teams are capable of, we are starting to get a sense of where each squad fits into the league hierarchy.
To arrive at the projected outcomes below, I’ve taken a market approach. By aggregating betting market information and converting it into implied probabilities, I believe we can get a better sense of what’s actually going to happen than any football insider or “expert” can give us.
The only game that looks a little out of whack here is the Toronto/B.C. contest. As I wrote here, implied probabilities prior to the start of the season suggested the Lions had the second-best chance of hoisting the Grey Cup this season, while the Argonauts were by far the biggest underdog to do so. Although Toronto crushed Hamilton in Week 1, them being a favourite suggests that people are either already believing the Argos are for real after one contest, didn’t like what they saw from the Lions in their Week 1 loss, or some combination of both. Either way, this week should go a long way toward pointing us in the right direction.
James Gordon is publisher of ProFootballMarkets.com. Follow him at Twitter.com/James_J_Gordon.
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